Tuesday, 5 November 2013

BAGS Track Championship - Hove Leg Preview



So, the championship is finally here, well for our group anyway. Wednesday afternoon see’s the first leg of the Track Championship take place for our group down at Brighton and Hove Greyhound Stadium. We face off against Poole and Hove, with none of the 3 teams really standing out against each other. In other groups, you can argue there is a ‘standout’ team, such as Newcastle in the northern side. However here, I believe we are pretty equal with Hove in terms of squad depth, with maybe Poole just lagging behind on the quality side.
There are 10 heats of the championship Wednesday afternoon (live on SIS), with the heats starting at Race 5 (15:28). We haven’t fared too badly on the trap draws, and to be honest we should be looking to come out of this leg with a decent point’s total. I do think that Hove will win, but we should aim for as many points as possible, so we can land a blow at Swindon on the 6th December.

Here, I will be giving my thoughts on each race, as well as our chances for points;

15:28 – The BAGS Track Championship Sprint
My Pick: Drink To That (Hove)

Sprints, as I’ve spoken about before, are never going to be our strong point, however we don’t look to have a particularly bad hand here. Drink To That, trained by Seamus Cahill, looks to have been campaigned with this competition in mind, given his good form in D1 company at Hove. Form beating Kizi is pretty decent, and consistently good times also help his cause.

I think our best hope here lies on the outside in Conahy Dasher. Ben McBride’s dog has been running well in A2 company, showing good early pace, which seems to have translated well to sprinting. The 16.58 first look round there is OK, it’s not setting the world alight, however he should be able to improve on that. Given the narrow bends at Hove, the inside Middle runners might be looking to cut in, which could give him a nice run around the outside. Here’s hoping, anyway.

Recycled Theo is an interesting pick that didn’t even enter my mind before this competition in all honesty. I do remember the race in which he was disqualified, which I was shocked at in all honesty. Since then, it looks as though he’s training for a hurdle campaign, possibly the Springbok next year?

15:48 – The BAGS Track Championship Puppies
My Pick: Forest White Boy (Swindon)

The puppy division is one that I really thought we would struggle in, yet it turns out we have, arguably, the strongest hand here. Forest White Boy, trained by Neil Jones (who, by the way, has like a 400-odd mile round journey to get to Brighton, hat’s off to him) looks to have a plum draw on the outside of the group. To me, the only real obstacle will be getting ahead of the 4 dog, Questhouse Rocky, who looks a really nice sort for Derek Knight. I think White Boy, over this further trip, will be in his element, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him win this comfortably.

Ballyhill Oscar certainly isn’t without a shout in here either. Matthew Dartnall’s black has had a couple of decent spins round the track, and in turn won his A2 last week in good fashion as well. The issue with him is that he is completely devoid of early pace, meaning he’s always coming through walls of dogs. He has the pace to get there and compete, but it’s hard to fully back him when you know he has to do it the hard way. With the early outside him, he could find his way to the front late on and nab some decent points for us.

16:08 – The BAGS Track Championship Dogs
My Pick: Cashen Matteo (Poole)

3 different team winners in the first 3 races? That’s what you call fair tipping! I’ve gone for Cashen Matteo here, trained by Alma Keppie down at Poole. He’s run at Hove several times before. You’ll see on his card that he has the 1 OR win back in July, where he won (what was in all honesty, a very poor maiden) in style, however got put in his place a bit on the return visit by Droopys Odell. I think Matteo is a very decent dog, in this sort of company that he has on Wednesday. He’s got our Swift Eugene on his outside, who is as slow away as he is, with all the early pace in the race on the rails. I see it that he gets a solo on the outside and lands a blow off the 3rd bend here.

I don’t think we’re without a chance here, but I think our best hope lies with Forest Hi Boy for Kevin Hutton. Hi Boy has been running fairly decently at Swindon, without landing that big win yet. He’s got some good times on his card, and has the benefit of a couple of looks round Hove. I can see him possibly getting squeezed a bit at the bend. In my view he needs to drop into 3rd or so (look after himself), then start his running down the back. He’s got a decent sort in Boltatwelldigger on his outside, so he’ll be wanting to try and lead him. Zara Two, who, in my view, looks to be the worthy favourite in this one, has the early pace to lead round too, so he doesn’t want to let him get a run early.

16:27 – The BAGS Track Championship Stayers
My Pick: Ballyhill Amber (NAP, Swindon)

I’m really confident going into this heat, after the performance that Amber put in a couple of weeks ago over the trip. She looked like a completely different bitch, trouncing a class field to win in 41.76. It was her early pace, and all-round staying prowess that really impressed me. Fingers crossed she can reproduce that sort of run at Hove. Her most recent performances there aren’t exactly great, and she was relatively fancied in some of them too, but to me she’s come back from her lay-off a different animal.

This isn’t exactly an easy race to decipher, as there are a few greyhounds without recent form over this demanding a trip. The 695, though the times are quicker than our 685, takes some getting, but is a trip you can win off the front or off the back.

One greyhound that fits this is Bua Paprika. The 41.68 trial time is superb, however he has yet to do that sort of clock in a race there. Also, it’s easy to do fast times in solo’s.

16:47 – The BAGS Track Championship Standard
My Pick: River Ace

This, in all honesty, isn’t a particularly good race for us. Distant Everland, trained by Maurice Walsh, has a very peculiar trial line round there from last week. A time of 31.00 is obviously poor, but a ‘CkRnIn’ comment is a bit weird. Fingers crossed it was just a case of not knowing where he was, and getting used to his new surroundings. I did think that he would make a cracking Hove 515m dog. 

That’s My Hero is another that’s a bit of a mystery. To be honest, I thought he would really struggle to see out the tough 515m trip, and it looks as though that will be the case. I feel that, if they were running the 475m there as well as 515m, then he would’ve been a shoe in for that trip, but 515m is too far really. Potentially this is a pretty low scoring race for us (in what is, arguably, a poor race), so any points here are a bonus.

As for the winner, I say look no further than the Poole dog in 2, River Ace. Trainer Phil Chatfield seems to be getting the best out of this dog, with good sub 27.00 runs recently in top grade round there. Though I do believe that the quality of grade at Poole has somewhat diminished, those sort of performances are going to put him in good stead here.

One thing that has come to light in covering this card is the lack of trials that the Poole dogs have had. Going from a particularly tight, short track to Hove is a bit of a step up, and realistically you’d want a look round there before you race there. It might work in their favour, it might not, but at least our team can go there knowing that most of them have had a good look round the track!

17:07 – The BAGS Track Championship Dogs
My Pick: Millwards Joker (NB, Hove)

Again, this is a pretty hard race for us, as the 2 dog in here, my Next Best, looks to have been campaigned with this competition in mind. Seamus’s dog has really good 29.80 runs recently in top grade at Hove, a grade that really stands up against the best, This race is also seemingly devoid of early pace, meaning he should go up on his home and win this relatively easily.

In terms of our chances, I do think that Bezzas Boy has a cracking draw on the wide outside. Matt Dartnall’s dog has been really hitting the mark recently, shooting up the grades and posting a good 28.97 run last time. He’s looking better each time he runs, and the trap draw here suits. I hope he can improve on the rather flat sectional from his trial round Hove, as if he can track the leader round he might be able to pick up some points.

The rest of the make up of the race is really based on gathering as many points as possible. There are a few real ‘RanOn’ types in there, hoping to snatch a place late on. Maui Hawk, for example (who, as a follower of Hove, seems to have been around forever!) is a real late-charging greyhound, so he’ll be one to watch at the finish.

In the same breathe, it has to be argued that Millabbey Terry is there for the same reason. He looked to me a complete Hove dog back in his A1 runs, running on strongly over the 480m trip here. With a better trap draw, you could’ve made a bit of a case for him. The issue is that 3 box, though at least the 2 should be out of the way early enough. I reckon he could grab a few all-important points though.

17:22 – The BAGS Track Championship Bitches
My Pick: Monleek Diamond (Hove)

This, in my mind, is the toughest race on the card. It’s a 4/1the field job this, with a case being made for just about all the girls involved in this. I’ve sided with the top, Monleek Diamond, solely on the draw and the hope that, if she gets round, she has a great chance of winning.

The makeup of the race actually really suits our two runners, but it’s difficult to say whether one or the other will win it. It’s a race where the other two teams have out-and-out early pace, whereas we have two greyhounds who are going to be coming off the back.
Kingsmill Go ran an absolute stormer in an OR last week at Hove. It doesn’t look much on the card, but the way she went about her business was very impressive, and I reckon she could come on a bundle. If she can find a few lengths (which, on her last run, wouldn’t be too difficult), she could come through to win this easily, so long as there isn’t a wall of other greyhounds to go through.

Sharp Exit, although her recent card doesn’t read particularly well, always seems to be there or thereabouts in these competitions. She’ll be running on like a steam train at the finish, just fingers crossed that she can pick up some decent points!

17:38 – The BAGS Track Championship Stayers
My Pick: Tennessee Morning (Hove)

Another race where, barring the favourite, really the points are anybody’s. Morning ran a superb race a few weeks back, winning an OR over the 695m trip, bowling along up front to win in a good time of 41.60. That sort of performance would see him land this one too.

On the same note, we have two greyhounds in here that potentially have great chances. Portavoe Girl has experience on the OR circuit, however she never really put in too great a performance. She has a win round there, albeit in a pretty poor race. I do think that she has come on from then, after a spell of lameness and building up her fitness in the A2 grades at Swindon. I think she can come on from that trial round there and go well on the outside. 

Rockmount Delta is a very interesting runner through the middle for Paul Foster. Still a relatively unknown quantity, Delta trialled very well a few weeks back, clocking 42.00 for our 685m trip. Although she didn’t really get to stretch her legs in the S1 after her trial, you do feel that she has potential over the trip. She hasn’t had a look either, meaning you don’t really know what to expect from her going in. Will she run better fresh?

17:56 – The BAGS Track Championship Standard
My Pick: Ericks Gav

*Please Note: Since the original card came out, this race had to be re-drawn due to an incorrect seeding on Kingsmill Anois. The correct line up for this race is as follows:
1) Droopys Franklin
2) Kingsmill Anois
3) Ericks Gav
4) Droopys Bass
5) Athlacca Olympic (M)
6) Killacolla Lion (M)

This is a blinding race, with real quality going into the traps for this one. I’m siding with Gav, as I think he’s the star of this year’s team. Ben McBride’s charge has had a bit of a stop-start year, with plenty of time off the track and not a lot on it. He posted a superb 28.13 earlier in the year in the Monmore Puppy Derby. However, since then it’s fair to say he hasn’t really done a lot. Since being off for a couple of months, Gav has come back to win a top A1 in a decent time, as well as showing what he’s truly capable of in a cracking 29.99 first look at Hove. Looking at the comments, he looks to have lost a couple of lengths just due to his inexperience at the track. He should come on a bundle for the trial.

I wouldn’t be writing our other hopeful, Kingsmill Anois out either. Anois is another who has really hit form recently, showing some good early pace in his racing to end up in A1. His trial at Hove wasn’t exactly ground-breaking, but it is a look nonetheless. He can come on from that trial.

18.11 – The BAGS Track Championship Bitches
My Pick: Hoof It Katie

Hoof It Katie is another one for Team Seamus (how it’s looking anyway!) that has been laid out for this one. A progressive sort in graded company, she’s another that likes to be on the bunny early. When she’s paw perfect going into the bend, she can put in some decent performances, including a recent 29.99 in an OR. It’s a case of lead round, and hope that a certain Swindon raider isn’t waiting to pounce!

Lady Jayne was making me well and truly scream at my television last week. I fancied her quite strong in her race, and didn’t end up betting her. Instead, I ended up watching a decent race, where she lost several lengths around the bends due to bits of trouble, and she still ends up winning! She’s a lass who’s always going to be there or there abouts, and is a real asset to the team. I think it’s a case of more of the same here, so long as she can track down the favourite (and my tip).

I’ll be honest, I don’t really rate Cimla Visa’s chances to be very high here. She didn’t put in a particularly fast trial time, though it is a track she’s run before. She has race form round there, coming 2nd in an OR, though it was a very standard time. Fingers crossed she can get us some decent points.

Happy Punting, and the best of luck to everyone involved! I’ll be down at Hove, come along and say hello if you’re there!

Wattsy,

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