Wow, it's here already. The richest prize for British Bred greyhounds, the Produce Stakes, starts this Friday evening, in what promises to be a very competitive Group 1. Looking through the card, I can see a good 10 potential winners there, so it'll be interesting to watch how the draws go through the rounds. I can also say that Calne Racing are going to be putting up an ante post book at the track, so do take a look at that. I hope to give my picks for the ante post market too.
So, here's a look at each of the first round heats of this year's Produce Stakes. Again, as with the majority of my previews, the prices are merely a guide and just my opinion. Do notice a few shorties, which is generally the thing for the first round! One thing's for sure, unless your doing accumulators etc, you may not get rich quickly on the first round, as there tends to be such a scope in class that, often, the long odds on shots win well. Basically, I'm covering up for picking some 1/3 shots!
20:00 - Heat 1
My Pick: Son Of Delboy
1) Caz Brownie - Mosdall (W'don) - 12/1
2) Blonde Tango - Wallis (Ymth) - 2/1
3) Brazen Knight - Draper (Sheff) - 2/1
4) Moses Star - Battley (Hnlow) - 20/1
5) Son Of Delboy - Buckland (HallG) - 5/4F
6) VACANT
For a Produce Stakes race, I actually thought this was a pretty competitive betting heat. I think the first three sort themselves out here, however which of them will actually win? I've sided with Stuart Buckland's Son Of Delboy. I remember watching him at Coventry, back on the 29th May, and was amazed by his early pace. He's got a really funny action this dog, with his head up in the air. To me, he has the early pace to lead up, even given the bad draw in trap 5 with 4 other railers. Blonde Tango, running for Mark Wallis, has been putting in some eye-catching runs on the rounds, and will be flying at the finish
My Trio: 5-2-3
20:15 - Heat 2
My Pick: Yorkshire Maddy
1) Klockwork Kyoko - Sallis (Monm) - 2/1
2) Special Spell - Lee (Sitt) - 14/1
3) Barley Beloved (M) - Battley (Hnlow) - 6/1
4) Caz Expresso (M) - Mosdall (W'don) - 6/1
5) Bodell Lizzie (W) - Kemp (Hnlow) - 8/1
6) Yorkshire Maddy (W) - Draper (Sheff) - 1/1F
Again, in this race I see it being a 2 dog race, however I'm finding it difficult to split them (though I do think the task is a bit easier than the opening race). Yorkshire Maddy looks to be a bit better class than her opposition really. She went round the track well enough, clocking 28.87 for a first look, and you've got to think she can improve on that. She has good early, however she'll have to try and avoid a possible argy-bargy encounter with trap 5, who looked like she needed the stripes in her trial.
My Trio: 6-1-3
20:30 - Heat 3
My Pick: Johnnys Boy - NAP
1) Bodell Sheila - Kemp (Hnlow) - 5/4
2) Gate Lane Lass - Dimmock (P'boro) - 40/1
3) Special Milli - Lee (Sitt) - 20/1
4) VACANT
5) Zoozee Blue (M) - Mullins (Ymth) - 20/1
6) Johnnys Boy (W) - Harris (BVue) - 1/2F
Easy one this one. I really like this Johnnys Boy in 6. He's really impressed me at Coventry in the past couple of weeks. His trial was stunning here at Swindon, however I do have to say that I thought the trial looked slow in running, alas it shows that, I think, there's more in the tank! I do think he has to be short to win the competition this year. I think the bookies may aswell keep on the right side of Bodell Sheila, though I do believe that the trial time is one that won't be repeated, looking at her recent form.
My Trio: 6-1-3
20:45 - Heat 4
My Pick: Aspiration
1) Cimla Visa - Jones (Cov) - 10/1
2) Romeo Hi Rumble - Firmager (Notts) - 6/5F
3) Caz Hitch - Mosdall (W'don) - 10/1
4) Donnys Angel (M) - Mullins (Ymth) - 10/1
5) Aspiration (W) - Dartnall (Swin) - 9/4
6) Special Empire (W) - Lee (Sitt) - 4/1
A local pick here, and one that I don't think will go off favourite (and not from trap 6!). On the card, you have to say that the Romeo dog is definitely the form greyhound. However, in his trial last week, he seems to run all over the place. One minute he's wide, next he's bang on the rails. Although fast, I like to see consistency in track-craft, alas I feel this could have a negative impact on his chances. Aspiration, although only just striding after a lay off, I think has a plum draw on the outside, and I see her following the 4 round and landing coming home.
My Trio: 5-2-6
21:00 - Heat 5
My Pick: Kay Gee Bee
1) Cimla Ffion - Jones (Cov) 3/1
2) Antartica - Hampson (BVue) - 3/1
3) Kay Gee Bee - Mullins (Rom) - 5/4F
4) Mullpark Jeannie (M) - Mullins (Ymth) - 7/1
5) Brookend Scatcat (W) - Smith (Swin) - 7/1
6) Karens Treasure (W) - Battley (Hnlow) - 16/1
An interesting race this one. I think the winner is pretty standout in the field. However, the qualifying positions are really intriguing. I think that, potentially, Brookend Scatcat could run a big race to qualify, along with Cimla Ffion. However, I reckon that all 5 greyhounds are in with a great chance of qualifying (maybe barring the 6, who looks a bit out of his depth here).
My Trio: 4-1-5
21:15 - Heat 6
My Pick: Klockwork Kaipo (NB)
1) Stella Zavala - Dimmock (P'boro) - 50/1
2) VACANT
3) Wellesley Fleck (M) - Evans (PBarr) - 8/1
4) Klockwork Kaipo (M) - Sallis (Monm) - 2/5F
5) Bodell George (W) - Kemp (Hnlow) - 4/1
6) Nolans Scolari (W) - Simpson (W'don) - 10/1
Again, it's an easy one this one. To me, Kaipo is one to keep an eye on in this competition, as I do think he has the class to win it. Paul Sallis' fawn looks a class above in this race. Aside from that, I see Bodell George giving him a good early pace battle, though he'll have to improve on his trapping.
My Trio: 4-5-3
21:30 - Heat 7
My Pick: Toosey Beannie
1) Joe The Jaw - Dartnall (Swin) - 3/1
2) Black Assassin - Mullins (Rom) - 2/1J
3) VACANT
4) Klockwork Kinda (M) - Sallis (Monm) - 2/1J
5) Toosey Beannie (M) - Mullins (Ymth) - 3/1
6) Blueeyed Bullet (M) - Kemp (Hnlow) - 14/1
Now this is a difficult race! Honestly, I think it's a race between the 2 and the 4, but I can't split them. Alas, I'm going for what I think might be a touch of value in the form of Toosey Beannie. John Mullins' runner has been running decently in the A2 grade at Yarmouth, and looks to want a bit more of a gallop. Her run behind Francos Causeway at Sittingbourne franks this mode of thought. The big issue is a lack of a look round, which I reckon could see her moving off at the bend. On a night like the Produce 1st Round, it's worth a go on something that's a bit of value. Remember, these dogs can do what times they like in solos, however it's when they're in race conditions that you see the true running style.
My Trio: 5-4-2
21:45 - Heat 8
My Pick: Klockwork Korker
1) Cimla Paradise - Jones (Cov) - 25/1
2) Seathwaite Frann - Evans (PBarr) - 4/1
3) Klockwork Korker - Sallis (Monm) - 7/4J
4) Thandis Thai Ni (M) - Ralph (Swindon) - 5/1
5) Yorkshire Coral (M) - Draper (Sheff) 7/4J
6) Special Lexi (W) - Lee (Sitt) - 10/1
Very good race this one, with my vote going for Klockwork Korker. I've watched Paul Sallis' runner a couple of times at Monmore, and, when he's on the bunny, he is a seriously fast dog. His split of 2.37, along with the winning time of 28.68 in a trial, shows he can do more of the same in this competition. He doesn't have a lot of pace around him, so he should have all the room in the world. Barry Draper's runner Yorkshire Coral also has the early to go with Korker, making this a good tussle. I'm rooting for the local Thandis Thai Ni (formerly Fabulous Fusion) to nick a qualifying spot here. I reckon, so long as she's handy to the front runners, she'll run on strong enough to qualify.
My Trio: 3-5-4
22:00 - Heat 9
My Pick: Cimla Superstar
1) Seathwaite Herne - Evans (PBarr) - 6/1
2) Rock It Vera - Sallis (Monm) - 4/1
3) Cimla Superstar - Jones (Cov) - 5/2
4) Shimano Cyan (M) - Adams (Hnlow) - 10/1
5) Special Duo (W) - Lee (Sitt) - 6/1
6) Blonde Bobby (W) - Wallis (Ymth) - 7/4F
I think I'm in danger of fancying Superstar over a hill here, however I've sided with her once more. Trained by a old Swindon favourite Neil Jones, Superstar certainly seems to be able to clock the times in her trials, it's just when it comes to her racing that seems to be the problem! She has the geats to be a potential star over the standard (and possibly short 6 bend) trips, it's just that she's green as grass when it comes to running with other dogs. If she can keep reproducing 2.40 odd splits, then she'll do mighty well, and only improve. Blonde Bobby looks the obvious favourite here, winning well at Coventry last time, and should be considered a potential winner of this year's competition.
My Trio: 3-6-1
22:15 - Heat 10
My Pick: Special Release
1) Special Release - Lee (Sitt) - 5/4F
2) Cimla Quinta - Jones (Cov) - 3/1
3) Lady Jayne - Dartnall (Swin) - 3/1
4) VACANT
5) Seathwaite Hage (M) - Evans (PBarr) - 5/1
6) Barley Ginola (M) - Battley (Hnlow) - 5/1
Hopefully an easy one to round off the night! Special Release here looks a class above in the lucky last. She's finally got herself the 1 box round Swindon, too! Look for a big run here, she's potentially a big player in this year's competition. I see this being an all-rails tricast.
My Trio: 1-2-3
There's the race by race analysis. Now, in terms of antepost, I say that Johnnys Boy has to be the outstanding one in the line up this year. I think he can only improve, and in a competition that doesn't have a load of wide runners, he's bound to get decent trap draw's throughout. In terms of prices, I actually haven't really tried to formulate my own market! In term's of playing a first 4 market, I also think Klockwork Kaipo is a big player.
If you're looking for something down the big-price e/w route, I would side with 2 greyhounds. First of which, I would go with Aspiration. Matt Dartnall's runner can seem to win it off the front or off the back. Before a spell of lameness, she looked to be a big contender for this competition. She's just coming back into form, and in terms of e/w, she might be at her peak come the semi finals.
I would also go with Toosey Beannie. For some reason, I've really taken a liking to this bitch, and I reckon she can go well in the competition. She's really well bred, and looks tailor-made to Swindon. Again, she'll be a big price, but when you're playing first 4 ante-post, you can potentially win a large amount of money.
Happy Punting!
Wattsy,
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