Friday, 19 July 2013

The Produce Final Preview



So, it’s Produce Final time then! This final’s night really rounds off what I see as our own little OR season. We’ve had the Arc and the Produce at quite close times, alas we’ll be going out with a bang! I think the card’s pretty decent for Saturday. I like to see variety, as in races over all the trips, so it’s nice to be able to go round all the traps to have some good competitive racing.

The opens themselves, though maybe not the classiest of affairs, are rather competitive, with a few of them hard to call. The final itself, in all honesty, was quite obvious from the start of the competition. However, it’s one of the classiest Produce finals I can remember. I certainly think that the competition this year was more a case of quality over quantity.

One thing I must say is the best of luck to all involved in the big final.

19:35 – The July Maiden 509er
My Pick: Rodger

This was a bit of a toughie to fathom really, with the trap draw being a bit of a mess for the inside runners. I can envisage a bit of scrimmaging on the inside here. My vote goes with Rodger, mainly because I think any reoccurrence of the 28.90 run from the 3rd July would see him win this race. In running, he looks like he needs those extra 29m too. Keep an eye on Bodell George aswell. As the only wide runner, with a RlsMid dog in 5, it’s hard to see him not getting a good clear run on the outside. Potentially he’s a good forecast linker.

19:50 – The July Puppy Standard
My Pick: Cimla Superstar (NB)

I think that, on paper, this is quite an easy race. However, there are a few unknown quantities coming into this race. Cimla Superstar was really unlucky to not get round the first bend in the semi-final of the Produce, and will look to forget that race here with a big win. She’s got a few lengths on her rivals here, even with the poor trap draw. I think that Forest Hi Boy is worth a 2nd glance. He’s only been trialling in (in fairly quick times for a baby), and has been thrown in at the deep end here.

20:05 – The July Standard
My Pick: Crusty Crab

A good race this one, and I’m siding with the old timer Crusty Crab. Ray Jones’ dog always seems to trial really well at Swindon, it’s just a matter of reproducing that form in his racing. Even at his age, his mileage (amount of racing) is still fairly low. He should really be beating this sort of company.

20:35 – The July Super Stayers
My Pick: Dr Muller

Some of you are probably thinking I’ve actually gone/seem even more crazy by the tip. However, hear me out! I’ve been a fan of the Dr for a while now, and do see her as a marathon runner on the right track. This 737m trip is right up her street. She’s not been quite firing at other tracks, however I think the old ‘switcharoo’ could actually do her some good. If she can ping like she did when recording the 41.87, I think she’ll take all the catching.

20:50 – The July 509er
My Pick: Matties Mate (NAP)

Cracking race this one, with a case being made for all the greyhounds really. I’ve gone with Matties Mate, basically on his awesome record over this 509er trip. He was really unlucky in a £1000 stake at Coventry last time out, however he can beat this competition in style here, especially now that the 2 box is vacant. Any price that’s odds against, take it!

21:05 – The July Maiden 509er
My Pick: Pookies Jess

Although she’s not been particularly firing over the 480m trip recently, Jess is a class above if she gets on the bunny early. Her solo last week proved that the engine is still as fine-tuned as ever! Here, with the lack of pace on her inside, I can see her getting an early run on her rivals, and a good win! Keep an eye on Thandis Thai Ni, who looks like she needs this entire 509m trip.

21:35 – The July Stayers
My Pick: Droopys Harper

At the moment, with how the weather is and the way the track is running, I will always favour a front running sort in any race, over a back runner. With the surface that bit quicker, the front runners can be out and gone, and that’s how I see Droopys Harper being in this race. Kevin Hutton’s dog loves this 685m trip, however he does need the line come the 6th bend. I can’t honestly see what will pick him up, possibly barring Sharp Exit, who looks like she needs around 700m+

21:50 – The 67th Produce Stakes Final
My Pick: Klockwork Kaipo

Yes, you read right. I’m actually going against the favourite here. Nothing against Johnnys Boy whatsoever, as he’s a fantastic greyhound and who, on times at least, should win this race at a canter. Reading the racecard, however, I do think that Kaipo is very well drawn. His split times are awesome, and it means that he should be handy going up to the bend. It’d be interesting to see if Johnnys Boy could get by a strong running Kaipo.

Happy Punting!

Wattsy,

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